ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW)’s Volatility Moves the Target Weight to 0.0312 With -3.4240% Sales Growth

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW) have seen a year over year change of sales growth of -3.4240%.  The 3357041 market value company based out of United States of America is an important player in the Software & Computer Services sector.

While sales growth can be a key driver for a company’s stock performance, there are many other factors to consider as well.  Here we’ll take a look at several other notable indicators.

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW)  closed the recent session at 29 with a market value of $3357041.

Investors often have to decide how aggressive they are going to be in the stock market. Having the mindset of getting rich quick may result in the rapid loss of capital. Of course, there are those who have possibly had luck on their side, but jumping in head first without a plan can be a recipe for disaster. It may be tempting to take a leap with a risky stock. However, high returns in the equity market may come with extensive risk and volatility. Managing that risk in turbulent markets may help keep the average investor above water when things swing the wrong way. Investors may want to assess if they are trading too much or trading the wrong types of stocks. Doing all the research may involve keeping a close tab on technicals, fundamentals, relevant economic data, and earnings reports. Investors may have to find a way to keep the rational side from being consumed by irrational behavior when analyzing the markets.

Turning to some key growth data as decimals. One year cash flow growth ratio is calculated on a trailing 12 months basis and is a one year percentage growth of a firm’s cash flow from operations. This number stands at -16.3750% for ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW). The one year Growth EBIT ratio stands at 16.2950% and is a calculation of one year growth in earnings before interest and taxes. The one year EBITDA growth number holds at 10.9850% which is calculated similarly to EBIT Growth with just the addition of amortization.

Taking even a further look we note that the 1 year Free Cash Flow (FCF) Growth is at -17.3300%. The one year growth in Net Profit after Tax is -89.9800% and lastly sales growth was -3.4240%.

Trying to project the day to day short-term movements of the stock market may be all but impossible. Stocks have the tendency to make sudden moves on even the slightest bit of news or for apparently no reason at all. The daily trader may be looking to capitalize on swings or momentum, but the long-term investor may be searching for stability and consistency over a sustained period of time. During trading sessions, stock movements can seem like a popularity contest from time to time. Even after careful study, there may be no logical reason for a particular stock move. Riding out the waves of uncertainty may not be easy, but having a full-proof plan for when markets erode may just be the savior. Having the patience to wait out abnormal moves may help evade the mistake of letting go too soon out of panic. 

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW) has a current suggested portfolio ownership target rate of 0.0312 (as a decimal) ownership.  Target weight is the volatility adjusted recommended position size for a stock in your portfolio.  The maximum target weight is 7% for any given stock.  The indicator is based off of the 100 day volatility reading and calculates a target weight accordingly.  The more recent volatility of a stock, the lower the target weight will be.  The 3-month volatility stands at 33.1075 (decimal), the 6-month at 27.9039 and the 12-month at 26.3097.  This is the normal returns and standard deviation of the stock price over three months annualized.

Taking look at some key returns and margins data we can note the following: ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW) has Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 0.317666, with a 5-year average of 0.54588 and an ROIC quality score of 7.963272. Why is ROIC important? It’s one of the most fundamental metrics in determining the value of a given stock. It helps potential investors determine if the firm is using it’s invested capital to return profits.

Changing lanes and looking at some Debt ratios, ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ACIW) has a debt to equity ratio of 0.72051 and a Free Cash Flow to Debt ratio of 0.137497.  This ratio provides insight as to how high the firm’s total debt is compared to its free cash flow generated.  In terms of Net Debt to EBIT, that ratio stands at 4.13213.  This ratio reveals how easily a company is able to pay interest and capital on its net outstanding debt.  The lower the ratio the better as that indicates that the company is able to meet its interest and capital payments. Lastly we’ll take note of the Net Debt to Market Value ratio.  ACI Worldwide, Inc.’s ND to MV current stands at 0.184319. This ratio is calculated as follows: Net debt (Total debt minus Cash ) / Market value of the company.

Investors may be getting ready to buy into the stock market as we cruise into the second half of the year. Filtering out the constant noise in the markets can be challenging. Sifting through all the data can be trying, especially for the novice investor. Digging down into the fundamentals may help weed out the undesirable companies. Investors will most likely be scouting out the equity market for any bargains. Although they may be harder to find these days, there still may be a hidden gem out there somewhere. As companies start to report quarterly earnings, investors will be closely following to see which ones are poised for success over the next few quarters.